Equity · India · Underpitch

Major technical theories

Dow Theory, Elliott Wave 1-2-3-4-5 + A-B-C, Wyckoff, support/resistance, trend, volume and mean-reversion theory with practical interpretation.

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Technical theories are frameworks, not laws

These theories help organize market behaviour. None can guarantee future price. The most useful approach is to combine structure, confirmation and risk management instead of treating a theory as a mechanical prediction.

Dow Theory

Markets move in primary, secondary and minor trends. A primary trend is the dominant long-term direction; secondary reactions correct it; minor moves are short-term noise. Trend confirmation and volume are important.

Dow Theory: primary, secondary and minor trends.
Dow Theory: primary, secondary and minor trends.

Elliott Wave — 1-2-3-4-5 + A-B-C

The framework describes a five-wave impulse in the main direction followed by a three-wave A-B-C correction. Wave counts are subjective; different analysts can label the same chart differently, so it should be a framework, not a prediction engine.

Elliott Wave: five-wave impulse followed by a three-wave A-B-C correction.
Elliott Wave: five-wave impulse followed by a three-wave A-B-C correction.

Wyckoff Theory

Focuses on supply/demand, price and volume through accumulation, markup, distribution and markdown phases. Traders watch ranges, springs/upthrusts and volume behaviour to infer whether large operators may be accumulating or distributing.

Wyckoff: accumulation, markup, distribution and markdown.
Wyckoff: accumulation, markup, distribution and markdown.

Support and Resistance Theory

Markets often react around previous highs, lows and congestion zones because many participants remember those areas. Zones can self-reinforce, but breaks and false breaks are common.

Support and resistance as demand and supply zones.
Support and resistance as demand and supply zones.

Trend Theory

Price often persists in a direction for a period. Traders classify higher-high/higher-low uptrends, lower-high/lower-low downtrends and sideways ranges, then align strategies with the prevailing structure.

Trend Theory: uptrend, downtrend and sideways market structure.
Trend Theory: uptrend, downtrend and sideways market structure.

Volume Theory

Price moves supported by stronger participation are often treated as more credible. High volume can confirm buying or heavy selling, so volume must be read together with direction and location.

Volume Theory: participation can confirm or question price movement.
Volume Theory: participation can confirm or question price movement.

Mean Reversion Theory

After unusually stretched moves, price may move back toward an average or normal range. This is most useful when a market is not in a strong persistent trend; “too far” can become much farther.

Mean Reversion Theory: unusually stretched prices may move back toward typical average levels.
Mean Reversion Theory: unusually stretched prices may move back toward typical average levels.